Protecting those most in need
Blog Post | Blog of Rachel Siewert
Wednesday 25th February 2009, 10:12am
by RachelSiewert in
The global economic crisis has serious implications for the nation and particularly my home state of Western Australia. While there is no denying that action from the Federal Government is required if we are to head off the storm, this must be targeted to the needs of the community.
Western Australia is uniquely vulnerable to the global economic melt-down. Our economic growth has been driven by the mining boom and while housing prices and the cost of living have continued to climb, wages outside of the resources sector have stagnated. Once the mining bubble bursts, the state's economy could quite possibly nose-dive. More jobs will be lost and housing prices will drop. Those that bought houses when the market was buoyant may be forced to sell them when it is sagging. Loss of jobs and a falling housing market will mean hardship for thousands of Western Australian families.
This is the unfortunate consequence of Western Australia's boom and bust style economy. What we need is an economy that is built on jobs that are sustainable in the long term, not vulnerable to the ups and downs of one particular sector. By investing in the future, we can steadily grow a new, greener economy of the 21st century, a resilient and 'shock-proof' economy that isn't dependent on running down our resource base and stealing from future generations.
We are committing a huge amount of resources to fending off a global financial crash. While the need to do so is clear, there is a very real risk that once these resources are spent more will be hard to come by. We can expect to experience a protracted economic downturn, during which our capacity to dedicate resources to tackling other problems and investing in the industries of the future will be severely limited. Where will the money come from to invest in water infrastructure, to address climate change, to repair our natural environment, to help the most disadvantaged in our community?
As part of the committee inquiry into the Government's recent economic stimulus package, the major church welfare providers submitted a report from Access Economics. The first paragraph of the conclusion of the report said:
"Despite a period of sustained economic growth in Australia, acute pressures have mounted on certain parts of the community. Australia's two-speed economy has seen divergences in incomes across sectors, across states and across different parts of the income distribution. Evidently, Australians have not shared equally in the nation's recent economic prosperity."
In a time of economic uncertainty, we must ensure that those hit hardest by this economic crisis and most disadvantaged in our community are assisted. Prior to the impacts of the current global financial crisis (in the middle of what we were being told was an economic boom) many social service agencies, delivering frontline services to people in crisis, were reporting disturbingly high levels of unmet need. These included residential aged care, housing & homelessness, family relationship services, emergency relief and financial counselling.
During 2006/07, prior to the earliest impacts of the financial crisis, social services providers were forced to turn away over 77,000 eligible Australians seeking their support. These already overstretched services are now being strained to breaking point by the impacts of this latest crisis. In recent months service providers have reported a doubling of demand for emergency financial services across the board, with this demand quadrupling in some areas.
Last year, a support agency in Perth reported that they had to turn away a staggering 1778 people seeking emergency relief and financial counselling support, with demand growing substantially since then. As this pressure increases, it is these services that will bear the burden of providing support. These services urgently need additional funding from Government.
Unfortunately the predictions are that a lot more people are going to lose their jobs but if we can keep people in employment then there will be less impact on our social safety net, the housing market and the strength of the economy. If it costs us the same amount to keep someone in productive employment as it does on Newstart Allowance - then the better choice is to help them to continue in that job to play a productive role in the economy, delivering the goods and services that keeps the engine of the economy ticking over. Wouldn't it make more sense to invest in labour market programs?
For those unable to stay in employment they face the prospect of having to survive on the Newstart Allowance. Could you survive on $243 a week with a family to feed and a mortgage to pay? The Newstart Allowance urgently needs raising.
In a time of crisis we need to look to our social safety net. We should be targeting support services to low income earners - those who are credit limited, are struggling to get by and are thus most likely to spend any Government money immediately on the means of day-to-day life. We need to ensure we are investing in quality social infrastructure and thinking about the future.


Comments
If ...
If you want to protect the most in need and for the future in terms of economy you need to positively skew the distribution of wealth (no pun intended). This basically means that whilst there are still the rich class we raise the lower income brackets closer to the average income, the income that most people earn and that which is the most influential in the economy. When pressure is placed on the average household then those who fall below it aren't left out in the cold so to speak and support agencies aren't pushed beyond their limitations to the same degree as they would with a normal mode of distribution of wealth. The most in need would essentially be in the same boat or close to the same boat as those people with the average income.
The Tax Bonus Stimulus Package Payments.
People with probably the lowest incomes in the country are excluded from benefiting from the $900 Stimulus Package:
The condition for payment of the bonus is that one must have lodged an income tax return for 2007/2008 and/or have paid income tax.
My wife and I are pensioners; my wife's income is so small that she doesn't need to submit an income tax return while I do submit an income tax return but my taxable income is so low that I don't need to pay tax.
Yet, neither of us will receive the $900 bonus, while people with a taxable income of up to and over $80,000 will receive the $900 bonus or the tapered-down amount.
We are just as capable of spending $900 and thereby boosting the economy as the people who already earn big incomes and we are more in need of receiving this package. Please do something about this.
Tax Bonus
Totally agree with you Joe Zimmerman. I am a seperated sole parent and I work part time. I to do not qualify for it, even though I put a Tax return in, if I don't I get a "please explain" or we will cut you off letter from Clink. I pay tax during the year but get it back at the end so I don't qualify.
Poorly Targeted.
I think the stimulus package is great and Rudd is heading in the right direction but his spending is poorly targeted. The Greens once again have the right idea.
Handout mentality is the wrong solution
We need to put an end to this handout mentality. The availability of a handout is a disincentive for solving one's problems through one's own means or skills.
What we need are jobs so that people can apply their skills for there own benefit and the benefit of the economy.
Many business operate inefficiently because either they cannot or are reluctant to take the risk of accessing the loans that would make their business more efficient. This traps them in state that limits their capacity to offer employment or otherwise create employment for their suppliers through the increased activity arising from that loan.
Instead of simply frittering away our children's right to lower taxes in future (by making handouts) we could make secure loans to business that MUST BE PAID BACK IN FULL AND WITH INTEREST.
The interest rate could be relatively low and consistent with the RBA cash rates or the government cost of raising money through rates attached to its bond issuance. It allows the business owner to access the government's credit rating in order to carry out activities that are profoundly in the national interest. This also ensures our children don't suffer by being forced to pay back the bill we are now creating for them with the paternalistic handouts.
Every green should know our children will be less wealthy than us due to the expected negative impacts of climate change on our national productive capacity and the real prospect of a reduced global population in future. This seriously compromises their ability to pay back our collective bill.
An example of a business having inadequate capital for efficiency is someone who runs a diesel generator in a remote location to produce power, yet they cannot raise the capital to put in solar panels that would reduce their diesel bill. The reason solar is cheaper can be seen by comparing the solar plant up front cost with the the present value of the next 20 years of diesel bills. In this comparison solar is about half the cost and potentially much lower if you allow for uncertainty in future diesel prices. I am talking here about a hybrid system without batteries. The generator runs when the sun cannot provide the power. So the solar plant has the effect of reducing diesel consumption.
Right now business will labour on each year paying the diesel bill and endure the risk of a business killing sudden run up in diesel prices because they can't escape the current expensive paradigm because no one will lend them the money on such long term to do so.
This is where government can step in and make loans to these businesses and give them the security and confidence in knowing they won't be hammered by future high interest rates. The money will be paid back. Emissions will be reduced. Employment will be created in making these solar plants. Our kids won't have to pick up the bill for our outrageous selfishness.
In Australia each year we produce a huge amount of electricity using diesel, particularly in off grid locations. This could be halved through this approach.
This is just one example. There are many other examples of businesses trapped into using high cost methods because they can't access the capital to get them out of that paradigm and thus permit them to employ staff with the money saved by the more efficiency method. Many business owners work inhumanly long hours because they simply cannot afford to employ and take on the attendant financial risks of having staff.
Those most in need
Personally I find the claim that any Australian is "most is need" utterly repulsive.
I'd like to see you visit some African village that has been beset by HIV, war, malaria and drought and argue your case for why your particular constituents in WA are "most in need".
In Australia we have access to free hospitals, clean water, free education, and welfare to boot. We don't suffer high risks of being gunned down by some crazed henchmen of some warlord. We don't have a climate that means we could freeze to death walking home at the insistence of our drunk father as happened recently in North America.
Some people choose not to make the best of our many local blessings which is tragic. But describing them as somehow badly off is the height of absurdity by global and historical standards. By all means use your personal resources to help them, but calling on the public purse to help people who are for far more fortunate than the great many who don't happen to live right now, or in our backyard is plain wrong.
It is a sad reality that within a narrow group like Australians someone will be worst off. Someone will also be best off. The worst off may feel bad about being worse off than the people near them. So you fix that for them and then someone else will be worst off and they will feel just as bad. Aiming your efforts at them is a game you cannot possibly win. It is a fruitless quest. Take a different perspective and start to see how unbelievably well off they are by wider standards and let them be and stop interfering in their lives and thereby recklessly undermining their opportunity for true personal growth.
Instead think more about those who will follow us and do more to conserve and apply our financial resources to benefit them.
We are living in the golden age. This really is as good as it gets. From here on in its a decline and the worst off amongst us now have standards of living that will exceed many of those that follow us. Lets try just a little bit harder not be remembered by them as a generation of greedy planet wreckers who always wanted more for the here and now and hang the consequences.
the inconvenient economic truth
Unfortunately, and not surprisingly, either, nobody here seems to understand the true reason for the GFC. Debt.
For over twenty five years, I could not understand why as a civilisation we have this fascination with Economic Growth. Everyone tells us that growth is good for us, even though most of us don't like it, and consternation abounds when it goes away, as is happening right now. Well, it's all clear as a bell now. Capitalism, and its cousins the Free Markets, are fundamentally flawed. Capitalism is doomed to fail, no matter what we do, and here is why.
Everything around you is based on debt. Everything. The car in your garage, the garage, the road outside, the paper you are holding in your hands, the solar panels on our roof, was all paid for with money, and money is debt, (www.moneyasdebt.net/) 99% created out of thin air by the Reserve Bank. In fact, much of this 'money' does not exist at all now, thanks to computers which are able to make electronic ledger entries in spreadsheets to the tune of any millions you like if the spending can be justified by later earnings. But there's a sting in the tail of all this debt: the money to pay the interest on that debt does not exist either!
So to create the interest payable, even 'more stuff' needs to be built or manufactured or invented. Newer better faster computers, bigger houses, bigger cars, plasma screen TVs, more air conditioners, and of course the interest money on that 'stuff' doesn't exist either, so the dog starts chasing its own tail..... except this dog's tail keeps growing, and it will choke the dog. I hope you are still with me on this, it is very important.
The other aspect of all this growth, is that it is exponential in nature, flattish to start with, then they go skywards. So many things are now growing exponentially, like population, numbers of cars, roads, houses, debt itself, carbon emissions, water consumption, computers, topsoil loss, fisheries collapsing, that the list is way too long to publish here. As Chris Martenson says in the Crash Course “if you feel as though your life is accelerating out of control, well that's because it is...”
http://www.chrismartenson.com/crashcourse
Now, have you noticed how, even just a few years ago, if you had a million bucks you were very rich, but today the very rich are all billionaires? And that when they talk about economic matters now, increasingly, the word Trillion is entering the vernacular? You have to put this into perspective actually. A Million dollars is a pile of tightly packed $100 notes about one metre high. But a Billion dollars is a pile one kilometre high! I can still get my head around that, almost..... but a Trillion dollars, well that's something else altogether, that's tightly packed $100 notes laid horizontally all the way from here (the QLD Sunshine Coast) to Sydney!! Just let THAT sink in for a while, because they are using piles of money that large to bailout failed companies and banks where Uncle Sam lives. Money supply, therefore, is also growing exponentially.
OK, now back to the fundamental flaws. Because debt has been growing exponentially and is going up that chart with the train, the amount of money required to pay all that interest will not be paid in Trillions... but Godzillions! Still with me? Trouble is, there are not enough resources left to build $Godzillion economic growth, and so the debts can never be repaid. NEVER.
Economists continue speaking in forked tongues, saying we have a financial crisis on our hands, when in fact we have a DEBT crisis.
When Peak Oil caused the price of oil to reach $147, everything (petrol, food, building, and most services) went up with it. The Powers That Be, assuming inflation was causing this, raised interest rates. How helpful was that? Treasury doesn't seem to understand that inflation is caused by too much money being circulated (remember, they print it!), thus causing money to be worth less, and the cost of everything going up. This time, however, it wasn't inflation that caused price rises, it was Limits to Growth. The government is now clutching at straws, they do not understand Limits to Growth. Computer says NO! Limits to Growth means, the debts cannot ever be repaid.
All this was predicted, as long as twenty years ago. In fact, Limits to Growth were predicted more than thirty five ears ago by the Club of Rome. Remember them? But nobody listened, and now we have a huge problem to sort out. I have some ideas on how to fix this mess, but they are all way too controversial to happen before the entire deck of credit cards falls over in a big heap. A several Trillion dollars heap. Rudd and Co have no idea what to do, they are borrowing ever more money and throwing it at the problem, when in fact someone ought to be shouting “STOP!” very very loudly. But there you go, this is all too much, it wasn't meant to happen, and the best they can do is clutch at straws and hope it will all go away.
But it won't go away, and soon, we will all be on our own. Will we let the multinationals repossess everything because they screwed up? Should we bail out stupid car companies because they ignored all the warnings about Peak Oil and Climate Change and insisted on making us cars that eat the planet? Or do we retake the streets and tell them to get lost (I'm being very polite here!) because we don't want them doing any more damage?
Food for thought for 2009. A crisis is a terrible thing to waste. What are we going to do about it? And just how do we pay for the New Sustainable World Order?
Debt
Mike my sentiments are much in line with yours however there are points that need correcting.
The GFC has arisen because people have borrowed to buy things that are not in and of themselves productive. It is not as simple as saying debt has caused the problem. Borrowing to bid up house prices or share prices is predicated mainly on the expectation of someone buying them from you for more in the future. The deeply flawed reason for it is the same as that which has caused all bubbles and subsequent crashes. It is the erroneous belief that simply since prices have been rising they will continue to do so.
And what is worse the apparent wealth effect arising from holding assets that have recently been traded on the market for more than you paid causes you to borrow more money to buy truly useless consumables with no lasting value.
However there is another kind of debt. It is a debt which is used to produce something of value. Like I borrow $1000 so I can buy seeds to plant a crop which I harvest and sell for $5000. if I can't borrow the $1000 then the crop is never planted and I never have a harvest and my land sits idle growing weeds. In this case your GFC debt argument is a ridiculous reason not to extend the loan.
Also you are completely wrong that interest can only be paid by more production. The way (in aggregate) the missing interest has been paid has always been the same. Some more money is created to do it. Individuals may pay their own interest through selling crops, but that all cancels out and collectively it is paid by simple money creation.
It seems you get an enormous personal buzz out of the high drama of playing Cassandra with maximum enthusiasm. Good for you. But really we aren't here for your jollies. If you'd care to come up with some sensible positive strategies that would be lovely. If you only want to play chicken little then its a dull act and we know what happens to chicken little in the end. No one listens to him.
Debt
"The GFC has arisen because people have borrowed to buy things that are not in and of themselves productive. It is not as simple as saying debt has caused the problem. Borrowing to bid up house prices or share prices is predicated mainly on the expectation of someone buying them from you for more in the future. The deeply flawed reason for it is the same as that which has caused all bubbles and subsequent crashes. It is the erroneous belief that simply since prices have been rising they will continue to do so."
This is true, however, never before have people not only been encouraged to use their houses like ATM machines, but to also spend on unproductive goods and services. The end result is debt. Trillions of dollars worth of debt. Debt has been risinf at a greater rate of growth than the entire economy. Today, our debt to GDP ratio is DOUBLE whatit was in 1929, and it is widely accepted that this is what caused the great depression. Can I suggest a quick visit to http://www.debtdeflation.com/blogs/
Your scenario of farmers not being able to plat seeds because they cannot access credit to buy the seeds is likely to occur in the US, THIS YEAR. And don't think I'm telling you this 'for my jollies', this crash is VERY VERY serious... It will likely make the 1929 depression look like a picnic in the park.
Money can be created two ways: by printing, and by creating debt. Neither of these 'solutions' is very good. The first one can cause hyperinflation as in Zimbabwe, the other just makes the debt crisis even worse.
As far as solutions go, I only see the cancellation of all debts.
Once people are freed of debt, they no longer need to participate in the utterly wasteful pursuits of the current system. A jubilee would also liberate enough cash to build renewables and pay for the farmers' seeds (just imagine how much better off all our farmers would be if they had no debts!)
BTW, I would allow the car makers to go belly up. Then their factories could be retooled to build wind turbines and solar thermal plants, using the cash liberated from the debt cancellation, and manned by the people who no longer have to work in banks! Of course it's more complex than this, but you get the gist of things...
From one-job-to-another-job, this would be an easy task right?
Well people its tougher than most of you have experienced or aware of.
Partly because of demo-graphics and sector division.
All workers, regardless of temp, contract, permanent, consultant, trainee etc..
They need an employment letter with the following basics;
1) Start Date - company & division
2) End Date - which we hope you never have to experience or at least not frequently like some.
3) Job - Tile / Description - Duties
4) Optional - Other considerate and work related comments or a recommendation sentence.
5) Optional - Mangers Name / Optional - Contact Number
6) Official company seal / stamp / signature or a en electronic lodgement serial number issue by the Government / Centrelink when the employer submits the details electronically, which I would prefer anyway.
Too many times I have heard the phrase "Oh our company does not right letters of recommendation / letters of reference". Sometimes when a verbal phone reference check is given it takes 2-4-6 weeks just to get in touch with the previous managers, if they even work at the same place.
When people have credit card debt, mortgages and family plans and responsibility a months worth of salary is lost to this bungled ad mismanaged life cycle of the employment space.
Please correct this space through legal law proceedings or legislative changes.
Debt
In a sign of the panic gripping Washington's policy-makers, one of Barack Obama's key economic advisors, Paul Volcker, has warned a gathering of his leading peers that the crash of 2008 might be "the mother of all financial crises... I don't remember any time, maybe even the Great Depression, when things went down quite so fast, quite so uniformly around the world". Volcker, chairman of the president's Economic Recovery Advisory Board and former chair of the Federal Reserve, told a conference at Columbia University's Centre for Capitalism and Society on 20 February that the crisis was "characterised by being very international" and was the product of deep global imbalances.
But it is not only for their candour about the scale of the crisis that Volcker's Columbia comments are notable. The former Fed chief admitted to his star-studded audience (including celebrity economist Jeffrey Sachs, George Soros and three Nobel Prize winners) that the profession of which they were all a part had failed. The breakdown of the world financial system has "occurred in the face of almost all policy and intellectual analysis... Even the experts don't know what's going on".
http://www.wsws.org/articles/2009/mar2009/volc-m12.shtml
Crisis, what crisis?
Like all boom and bust scenarios before it, the doom sayers are part of the commentariat, the facts now emerging seem to be showing that although america is in debt to the hilt, the economy (as always) swings through the cycle and stock markets are now predicting recovery. I never believed the spin that the media was reporting, just as I never beleived the boom was endless in the tech rise years.....its just self satisfying spin designed to sell papers.....the figures currently appearing indicate some areas of crisis yes, but its not worldwide (USA, Finland and Ireland are not the whole world!), nor is it the end of capitalism, its just the market extremes doing what they always do, namely the weak collapse the strong recover.
Financial journalists wtie copy based on figures recieved from treasuries and government departments AFTER the fact, not at the time
Some people seem to think theres no end in sight....Personally I very much doubt people are going to stop buying goods and services (reagardless of whether its on credit or for cash) just because its suits someones ideological wish list that capitalism is ended.
The other thing the chicken little proponents forget is that capitalistic short sellers (through CFD's) are STILL profiting from a drop in share values, hidden agenda folks you think?
AND there are some businesses that benefit greatly from recession conditions, its all sector rotation Try googling economic wheel
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